Republic Services (RSG)
NYSEIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$245.41+1.05%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RSG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 29.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -6.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RSG — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Regulation FD Disclosure. Updated Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance Our guidance is based on current economic conditions. The Company expects full-year revenue to be in a range of $17,425 million to $17,475 million. Net income attributable to Republic Services, Inc. is expected to be in a range of $2,210 million to $2,220 million for 2026. The Company raised its full-year adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization ("adjusted EBITDA") guidance and expects it to be…
Why it matters: Q3 revenue grew, but volume fell. Less volume pressure would show that growth is not resting only on higher prices.
Supportive ifQ4 volume decline is smaller than 0.6%, or volume growth turns positive.
Worry ifQ4 volume falls by 0.6% or more.
Why it matters: Q3 margin was 31.8%, below Q2's 32.1%. A rise would show the company is keeping more revenue after costs.
Supportive ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA margin tops 31.8%.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA margin is 31.8% or lower.
Why it matters: The board approved a new buyback plan that runs through 2029. Share purchases would show the company is putting the plan into action.
Supportive ifA 2027 filing or company report shows share purchases under the new $5 billion plan.
Worry ifThe company reports no purchases under the plan during 2027, or pauses the plan.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$89 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,463 loss on $10,000 · 14.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.