Safehold, Inc. (SAFE)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
$10.77-4.10%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAFE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -40.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SAFE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 3, 2026, Safehold Inc. issued an earnings release and made available on its website an earnings presentation for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the earnings release and earnings presentation are attached as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, hereto and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report, including the exhibits hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” fo…
Why it matters: The amendment extends the loan maturity by one year. Its final terms will show whether the change is complete.
Watch forA filed agreement confirms the loan facilities mature on March 31, 2029. There is no added delay.
Also watch forA filing shows the amendment failed, or the facilities remain due on the prior date.
Why it matters: Revenue rose from $93.8 million in Q2 2025 to $114.6 million in Q2 2026. Another gain would support the growth trend.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $114.6 million, the Q2 2026 level.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $110.9 million, the Q1 2026 level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $363 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,791 loss on $10,000 · 37.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.