Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$115.27-2.59%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SWK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SWK — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-24
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. 364-Day Credit Agreement The description contained herein is a summary of certain material terms of the 364-Day Credit Agreement (as defined below) and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the 364-Day Credit Agreement attached as Exhibit 10.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. Unless otherwise defined herein, the capitalized terms used below are defined in the 364-Day Credit Agreement. On June 18, 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.…
Why it matters: The new $600-$800 million range includes tariff refunds and costs tied to the CAM sale. Cash below the range would weaken the debt-reduction story.
Supportive ifThe next report keeps the $600-$800 million range, or raises it, and full-year free cash flow reaches at least $600 million.
Worry ifManagement cuts its range below $600 million, or full-year free cash flow ends below $600 million.
Why it matters: Tools & Outdoor organic sales rose 3% in Q2, after falling 1% in Q1. A return to decline would challenge the growth plan.
Watch forTools & Outdoor organic sales grow year over year in Q3, with growth above 0%.
Also watch forTools & Outdoor organic sales fall year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Q2 results included about $0.17 per share from tariff refunds. Q3 results can show how much profit came from the core business.
Watch forAdjusted EPS is above last year's level. Gross margin rises year over year, without a similar benefit from tariff refunds.
Also watch forAdjusted EPS is below the prior-year level, or gross margin falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $303 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,613 loss on $10,000 · 26.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.