Terex (TEX)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$57.56+0.07%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TEX — officer change
Dated 2026-06-30
The excerpt is incomplete and does not provide sufficient information to determine the nature of the event.
Why it matters: Terex is in talks with several buyers and is preparing to separate Aerials. A clear deal would show the process has reached a key step.
Watch forTerex names a buyer or shares clear sale or separation terms for Aerials.
Also watch forTerex says talks have ended, delays the separation, or reports no buyer after its active talks.
Why it matters: Terex raised its full-year outlook after Q3. Results within the new ranges would support the growth story.
Supportive if2026 sales reach $8.0B–$8.2B, adjusted EBITDA reaches $930M–$960M, and free cash flow reaches $360M–$400M.
Worry ifSales, adjusted EBITDA, or free cash flow falls below the low end of its 2026 range.
Why it matters: Terex reported about $28 million of 2026 savings so far. More savings could lift earnings as it joins the REV businesses.
Supportive ifTerex reports over $28 million in savings for 2026. It keeps its goal of a $75 million annual run-rate within two years.
Worry ifTerex reports savings below $28 million for 2026, or moves the $75 million run-rate goal beyond two years.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$183 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $439 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,339 loss on $10,000 · 33.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.