TGT
Target CorporationNYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, TGT has a composite score of 16.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by various factors, including a medium confidence level of 79.1 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic conditions related to labor, inflation, rates, and growth. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.05
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.24 → $2.24 (-0.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 30 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 30% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target -0.3% above current price.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
14 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 27%; 252d 30%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −20%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 59/100, beta 94/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
44 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TGT Target Corporation | +17 | fair | moderate |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-03)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-03)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-032mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On March 3, 2026, Target Corporation issued a News Release containing its financial results for the three and twelve months ended January 31, 2026. The News Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 16 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On February 10, 2026, Target Corporation announced that it expects to report fourth quarter 2025 sales, full-year GAAP earnings per share and full-year Adjusted earnings per share in line with its previously issued guidance. A copy of the press release including this announcement is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 10 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . As previously disclosed, Michael J. Fiddelke was appointed as Target’s next Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board, effective February 1, 2026. On January 31, 2026, Mr. Fiddelke’s compensation was set in connection with that appointment. Mr. Fiddelke will receive an annual base salary of $1.30 million, will be eligible for an annual cas…
executive changeneutralscore 10 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . On February 10, 2026, Target Corporation (“Target”) announced that Lisa Roath has been appointed to the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective February 15, 2026. Ms. Roath, 48, has been employed by Target since 2006, most recently as Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer of Food, Essentials &…
executive changeneutralscore 9 - 2026-01-223mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . On January 21, 2026, the Board of Directors of Target Corporation (“Target”) elected John R. Hoke III as a director of Target, effective March 1, 2026. Mr. Hoke was also appointed to serve on the Compensation & Human Capital Management Committee and the Governance & Sustainability Committee, each also effective as of March 1, 2026. Mr. Hoke, 61, i…
executive changeneutralscore 7
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.