Target Corporation (TGT)
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
$163.10+5.63%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put TGT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS of $8.0 to $8.5 per share in 2026: Diluted EPS: $4.11 per share.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTarget's merchandising strategy has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year in the latest quarter. The company beat its earnings estimate by 82.7%. It trades at 18 times earnings versus a 16 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 16%. The 2026 EPS pillar is under pressure. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. TGT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 38 analysts currently covering TGT (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 21 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TGT in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TGT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TGT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Major private label investment supports growth and margin objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $163.10
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $163.10.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Safety recall may impair customer trust and create incremental costs, though scope and financial impact are unclear.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Analysis supports profitable growth prospects through merchandising freshness and experience.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Cat & Jack's $3 billion scale supports durable merchandising appeal and the family-focused strategy.
Threatens: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Backlash could impact customer experience.
Advances: Achieve full-year 2026 net sales growth around 5%
Reported sales recovery after extensive price cuts supports growth, though profitability execution remains key.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Increased customer engagement supports merchandising and experience growth.
Increased competition from Kmart and Amazon affects growth objectives.
