Trade Desk (The) (TTD)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.81-3.17%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TTD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
TTD — workforce reduction
Dated 2026-09-04
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On September 3, 2026, The Trade Desk, Inc. (the “Company”) announced a plan to implement an organizational realignment as part of a company-wide effort to align resources with the Company’s highest-priority growth opportunities, improve operational effectiveness and build a more focused, agile and scalable organization positioned for long-term growth. The plan includes the elimination of positions and decreasing the Company’s total workforce…
Why it matters: Q2 revenue grew 3% year over year, down from 19% a year earlier. Q3 results test whether growth steadies.
Watch forOn November 9, Q3 revenue is at least $650 million, matching or beating the company’s floor.
Also watch forOn November 9, Q3 revenue is below $650 million.
Why it matters: Revenue growth fell to 3% in Q2 from 12% in Q1. Another weak quarter would deepen concern about the growth slowdown.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is 3% year over year or lower.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth rises above 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Netflix and Samsung Ads opened new inventory to Trade Desk buyers. More access can support its push to grow CTV use.
Supportive ifA company update names another major CTV seller. Trade Desk buyers can access its inventory.
Worry ifThe next company update names no new CTV seller. Or it reports lost access to Netflix or Samsung Ads inventory.
Why it matters: The company said it is cutting jobs to focus on growth and improve how it works. Later results can show if growth holds as costs fall.
Watch forA later filing reports lower operating costs as revenue grows year over year.
Also watch forA later filing reports higher operating costs, or revenue falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$191 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $593 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,501 loss on $10,000 · 75.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.