United Parcel Service (UPS)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$102.29-1.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UPS
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within industrials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks UPS against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=9249).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to grow consolidated revenue, raising full-year 2026 guidance to approximately $91.2 billion.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Revenue grew from $21.2 billion in 2026-Q1 to $22.8 billion in 2026-Q2. Management raised full-year 2026 consolidated revenue guidance from $89.7 billion to approximately $91.2 billion in 2026-Q2, reflecting delivery and momentum. The trajectory is delivering consistent growth and upward guidance revisions.
“Raises Full-year 2026 Consolidated Revenue Outlook to Approximately $91.2B”
“Reaffirms Full Year 2026 Guidance of revenue of approximately $89.7 billion”
“For the full year 2026, on a consolidated basis, UPS expects revenue to be approximately $89.7 billion”
“For the full year 2026, the company reaffirms its consolidated financial targets of revenue of approximately $89.7 billion”
Target non-GAAP adjusted operating profit of about $8.65 billion for full-year 2026, with margin expansion.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Management raised full-year 2026 non-GAAP adjusted operating profit guidance to approximately $8.65 billion in 2026-Q2. Operating income declined from $1.27 billion in 2026-Q1 to $930 million in 2026-Q2, reflecting transformation charges, but non-GAAP adjusted profit grew. The trajectory shows management maintaining focus on profit growth with margin expansion.
Continue network reconfiguration and efficiency initiatives to reduce costs and optimize operations, targeting $3 billion in savings in 2026.
Stated as a priority in 5 of last 5 quarters. UPS realized $3.5 billion in cost savings in 2025 from Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives and achieved $600 million in savings in 2026-Q1. Management expects $3 billion in savings for full-year 2026. The trajectory shows consistent execution and delivery of cost savings from these initiatives.
Plan capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion in 2026 to support operations and growth.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. UPS plans capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion for 2026, consistent with reaffirmed guidance in 2026-Q1 and Q2. Capital expenditures were approximately $3.5 billion in 2025. The trajectory shows disciplined capital allocation with a slight reduction planned for 2026.
Maintain dividend payments around $5.4 billion in 2026, subject to board approval.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. UPS plans dividend payments of around $5.4 billion for 2026, consistent with reaffirmed guidance in 2026-Q1 and Q2. Dividend payments were approximately $5.5 billion in 2025. The trajectory shows stable shareholder returns with consistent dividend guidance.
Over the trailing year it converted 2.15x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=4997).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=3431).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Raises Full-year 2026 consolidated non-GAAP adjusted operating profit target to approximately $8.65B”
“Reaffirms Full Year 2026 Guidance of non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of approximately 9.6%”
“For the full year 2026, on a consolidated basis, UPS expects non-GAAP adjusted operating margin to be approximately 9.6%”
“For the full year 2026, the company reaffirms its consolidated financial targets of non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of approximately 9.6%”
“We expect to achieve approximately $3 billion in full year 2026 benefits from these initiatives”
“In the first three months of 2026, we achieved approximately $600 million of program cost savings”
“We computed year over year cost savings of approximately $3.5 billion in 2025 from this initiative”
“We continue to review expected changes in volume to identify additional buildings for closure”
“$3.5 billion in expected expense reductions due to network reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives”
“Confirms expected capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion”
“Planning capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion”
“Capital expenditures of approximately $3.5 billion planned for 2025”
“Capital expenditures of approximately $3.5 billion planned for 2025”
“Dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval”
“Dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval”
“Dividend payments expected to be around $5.5 billion, subject to Board approval”
“Dividend payments expected to be around $5.5 billion, subject to Board approval”