Vicor Corporation (VICR)
NASDAQIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$159.07-11.14%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VICR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 54.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 77.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VICR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-20
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 20, 2026, Vicor Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026. The full text of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and…
Why it matters: Vicor reported its first VPD license with an AI OEM. More signed licenses would show that the patent effort can bring in royalties.
Supportive ifVicor reports a second named AI OEM or hyperscaler VPD license. Or, royalty revenue rises above Q3's $66.6 million.
Worry ifNo further VPD licenses are reported and royalty revenue falls below Q3's $66.6 million.
Why it matters: Backlog rose 7% from Q2 and 166% from last year. More growth would support the demand story.
Supportive ifThe next reported backlog is above $406 million.
Worry ifThe next reported backlog falls below $380 million, the Q2 2026 level.
Why it matters: The board approved a new share repurchase plan. Repurchases would show that the company is using cash for this stated purpose.
Supportive ifA filing or earnings release reports shares repurchased under the new plan.
Worry ifA later filing states that no shares were repurchased, or the company ends the plan.
Why it matters: The ITC has opened an investigation into VPD patent claims. A ruling could affect imports of systems that use the disputed technology.
Watch forThe ITC rules for Vicor or blocks imports tied to the VPD patent claims.
Also watch forThe ITC rules against Vicor or ends the case without import limits.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$445 on $10,000 · ±4.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $988 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,812 loss on $10,000 · 58.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose from 58.0% in Q2 to 68.3% in Q3. A sharp drop could weaken the recent profit improvement.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 58.0%, the Q2 2026 level.
Less concerning ifGross margin stays at or above 68.3% in the next reported quarter.