Ventas (VTR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$89.20+2.48%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VTR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 67.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 55.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VTR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-15
Chief Accounting Officer — Laurida Sayed: The filing discloses the external hire of a new Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, while the existing CFO retains his role, indicating a planned succession rather than a departure.
Why it matters: SHOP drove much of Ventas's recent growth. A sharp slowdown would test whether that pace can last.
Worry ifIn a coming quarter, SHOP same-store cash NOI growth falls below 12% year over year.
Less concerning ifSHOP same-store cash NOI growth stays at or above 16% year over year.
Why it matters: Ventas raised its 2026 investment plan and FFO guide during the year. New deals matter if they add to earnings.
Watch forThe next full-year FFO guide rises, and management links the increase to completed senior housing deals.
Also watch forThe next full-year FFO guide falls, or management cites weak returns from recent deals.
Why it matters: U.S. SHOP occupancy was above 90% in Q3. A drop could weaken room revenue and property income.
Worry ifA reported U.S. SHOP average occupancy rate falls below 90%.
Less concerning ifU.S. SHOP average occupancy stays above 90% and grows year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $254 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,038 loss on $10,000 · 20.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.