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WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08

$182.10-0.72%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, WSM has a composite score of 14.5, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.3 and reflects various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. Key drivers include macro growth, rates, inflation, and labor. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the data may change.

Composite +15as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 30% of consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.16
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
291328319478
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$182.10
TTM EPS
$7.77
Earnings yield
4.3%
P/E (TTM)
23.4

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,088
TTM CFO ($M)
1,315
CFO/NI
1.21
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 20% activity in consumer discretionary cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral12 analysts, 41% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $2.02 → $2.02 (+0.2% / 30d). 2 raised, 6 cut, 12 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 41% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 3.3% above current price.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −21%, typical day ±1.5%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 33%; 252d 34%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −21%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLY) 0.05 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 43/100, drawdown 59/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-4.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite62.5 / 100
Capital allocation65
Earnings discipline71
Margin discipline70
Balance sheet44
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction50
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
42higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
25higher = cheaper

Richer than its own typical valuation.

P/E
21.4x
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
FCF yield
4.7%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
WSM
Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
+15fullelevated
AMZN
Amazon
+16fullmoderate
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
+0.4expensiveelevated
HD
Home Depot (The)
+14fullmoderate
CVNA
Carvana
+14high
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.5%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-3.1%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-20.6%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-18)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-18)-8.0 pts
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-03-181mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 18, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended February 1, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The attached exhibit is provided under

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 20
  2. 2026-03-181mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events On March 18, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that its Board of Directors authorized a 15% increase in the Company’s quarterly cash dividend. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.

    capital allocationneutralscore 16
  3. 2025-11-195mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 19, 2025, Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for its third quarter ended November 2, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The attached exhibit is provided under

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 1
  4. 2025-06-2710mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On June 26, 2025, Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into that certain Ninth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Amended Credit Agreement”) with Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent (the “Agent”), letter of credit issuer and swingline lender, and the lenders party thereto, which amended and restated that certain Eighth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of September 30, 2021 (as amended, the “Existing Credit…

    capital allocationneutralscore 0
  5. 2025-06-2710mo agoItem 2.03

    Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included in

    capital allocationnegativescore 0
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-26 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.