Amcor (AMCR)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMCR
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks AMCR against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated strong grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=1943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Complete integration of Berry acquisition and realize at least $260 million pre-tax synergy benefits in fiscal 2026, progressing towards $650 million total synergies by fiscal 2028.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Synergies from the Berry acquisition started at $38 million in 2025-Q3 and reached approximately $240 million by 2026-Q4, with management on track to deliver at least $260 million pre-tax synergy benefits in fiscal 2026 and targeting $650 million total synergies by fiscal 2028. The trajectory is delivering as planned with synergy realization ahead of initial expectations.
“Synergy realization came in ahead of plan... synergy benefits from the Berry acquisition of approximately $240 million”
“Acquisition synergies of $77 million, at upper end of expectations”
“Acquisition synergies of $55 million at upper end of expectations and targets reaffirmed”
“Integration is proceeding in line with expectations and on track to deliver at least $260 million of synergy benefits in fiscal 2026”
“Tracking well against our synergy targets and delivery run rate building as expected”
“Integration of the Berry business resulted in approximately $38 million of synergies in the first quarter”
Deliver adjusted EPS growth of 12-17% constant currency in fiscal 2026, reflecting synergy benefits and organic growth.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Adjusted EPS grew from $3.56 in fiscal 2025 to $4.02 in fiscal 2026, a 13% increase, consistent with management's guidance of 12-17% growth. Quarterly adjusted EPS also showed steady growth, supporting the trajectory as delivering against the stated growth target.
Achieve free cash flow generation of $1.8 to $1.9 billion in fiscal 2026, supporting capital allocation and shareholder returns.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Free cash flow was $1.3 billion in fiscal 2026, below the $1.8-1.9 billion guidance range, partly due to approximately $290 million of net transaction, restructuring and integration costs. Management has consistently reaffirmed the $1.8-1.9 billion target, indicating limited progress in fully achieving the free cash flow goal this fiscal year.
Keep capital expenditures disciplined within the range of $850 to $900 million for fiscal 2026 to support operational efficiency and growth.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Management maintained capital expenditure guidance between $850 and $900 million for fiscal 2026. Actual capital expenditure was approximately $922 million, slightly above the upper end of guidance, indicating mixed delivery against the target.
Increase quarterly dividends to shareholders reflecting confidence in cash flow generation and long-term growth prospects.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. The Board has consistently increased or maintained quarterly dividends, with the dividend rising from 63.75 cents per share in 2025-Q4 to 65.0 cents per share in 2026-Q4. This steady increase reflects management's commitment to returning cash to shareholders and is delivering on stated intentions.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.50x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated fragile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=1401).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
23 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=717).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Adjusted Diluted EPS $1.23 vs $1.00 prior-year, up 23%”
“Adjusted EPS of $0.96, up 6% YTD”
“Adjusted EPS of $0.86, up 7%”
“Adjusted EPS of 19.3 cps, up 18% excluding currency impact”
“Adjusted EPS 71.2 cps, up 3% excluding currency impact”
“Adjusted EPS of 16.2 cps, up 5% on a comparable constant currency basis”
“Free cash flow was $1,303 million after funding approximately $290 million of net transaction, restructuring and integration costs”
“Free Cash Flow revised to be $1.5-1.6 billion”
“Free Cash Flow $289 million including Berry transaction, restructuring and integration costs of $69 million”
“Free cash outflow of $39 million was in-line with expectations after funding approximately $78 million of net transaction, restructuring and integration costs”
“Free Cash Flow of approximately $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion”
“Free Cash Flow of approximately $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“Capital expenditure between $850 to $900 million”
“The Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 65.0 cents per share today, compared with 63.75 cents per share”
“Quarterly dividend of $0.65 declared”
“Quarterly dividend of $0.65 declared”
“Quarterly dividend of 65.0 cents per share”
“Quarterly cash dividend of 12.75 cents per share before reverse stock split”
“Quarterly cash dividend increased to 13.0 cents per share”