APTV
AptivNYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, APTV has a composite score of 17.3 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The company momentum score has significantly decreased to 0.5, falling by 15.8 points. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, rates, inflation, and labor. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.84
- Slope (norm)0.26
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.53 → $1.42 (-7.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 10 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 86% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 29.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
29 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Complete Versigent spin-offcapital allocationbehind30% progressprovisional
2/2: “CEO: 'We are working diligently toward the spin-off of our EDS business as Versigent.'”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The spin-off of the Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent PLC was completed on April 1, 2026. This strategic move aligns with Aptiv's focus on creating two independent companies to pursue unique market opportunities. The trajectory is delivering as planned.
- 2.Manage debt and capital structurecapital allocationwatchprovisional
10/30: “CFO: 'We also delivered on our commitment to maximizing shareholder value through our continued share repurchases and debt retirement.'”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Aptiv has been actively managing its capital structure, including debt retirement and share repurchases. The company repurchased and retired 22.8 million shares with a value of $1.5 billion during 2025. The trajectory shows consistent focus on capital optimization.
- 3.Navigate executive transitionstalentwatchprovisional
5/1: “CEO: 'Our robust business model allows us to remain agile and responsive in a dynamic macroenvironment.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Aptiv has been navigating executive transitions, including the recent resignation of Javed Khan as EVP and President, Intelligent Systems. The company remains focused on maintaining strategic alignment and continuity. The trajectory indicates ongoing management of leadership changes.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-30 | $1.27 – $1.33 | $1.27 | inside |
| 2025-03-31 | $0.90 – $1.10 | $1.69 | beat |
| 2025-06-30 | $1.30 – $1.50 | $2.12 | beat |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.30 – $1.50 | $2.17 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 51%; 252d 36%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −38%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.07 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 40/100, drawdown 24/100, beta 7/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 26
Company momentum fell by 15.8 points (from 16.3 to 0.5).
As of 2026-05-08, the company momentum score for APTV fell by 15.8 points, changing from 16.3 to 0.5. The overall signal transitioned to "mild_favorable." The forward view indicates an unfavorable scenario if next-quarter guidance is cut, as it is currently new as of 2026-05-05. Additionally, there are mixed signals regarding sector trends, with potential unfavorable outcomes if the consumer discretionary sector trend weakens.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 75% of the last 4 guided quarters · 43.3% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Complete Versigent spin-off
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Finalize the separation of the Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent PLC.
Mixed →BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The spin-off of the Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent PLC was completed on April 1, 2026. This strategic move aligns with Aptiv's focus on creating two independent companies to pursue unique market opportunities. The trajectory is delivering as planned.
30%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'We are working diligently toward the spin-off of our EDS business as Versigent.'”Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-02Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'We are working diligently toward the spin-off of our EDS business as Versigent.'”
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CEO: 'Our team continues to work diligently on the separation of our Electrical Distribution Systems business.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CEO: 'We are confident in our ability to drive long-term growth and value for our shareholders.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'We remain well-positioned to enable the electrified, software-defined, and connected future.'”
- #2
Manage debt and capital structure
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Focus on optimizing the capital structure through debt management and strategic capital allocation.
Mixed →WatchStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Aptiv has been actively managing its capital structure, including debt retirement and share repurchases. The company repurchased and retired 22.8 million shares with a value of $1.5 billion during 2025. The trajectory shows consistent focus on capital optimization.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CFO: 'We also delivered on our commitment to maximizing shareholder value through our continued share repurchases and debt retirement.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-10-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q3Earnings call
“CFO: 'We also delivered on our commitment to maximizing shareholder value through our continued share repurchases and debt retirement.'”
- 2025-Q2Earnings call
“CFO: 'Strong execution across both segments and continued cost discipline resulted in record quarterly earnings.'”
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CFO: 'Our solid first quarter performance validates our industry-leading portfolio.'”
- #3
Navigate executive transitions
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Manage leadership changes to ensure continuity and strategic alignment.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Aptiv has been navigating executive transitions, including the recent resignation of Javed Khan as EVP and President, Intelligent Systems. The company remains focused on maintaining strategic alignment and continuity. The trajectory indicates ongoing management of leadership changes.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Our robust business model allows us to remain agile and responsive in a dynamic macroenvironment.'”Earnings callSource dated 2025-05-01Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q1Earnings call
“CEO: 'Our robust business model allows us to remain agile and responsive in a dynamic macroenvironment.'”
- 2024-Q4Earnings call
“CEO: 'The company delivered record operating cash flow and strong earnings growth.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
APTV Aptiv | +17 | inexpensive | elevated |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-054d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Aptiv PLC (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as an exhibit and is incorporated herein by reference. The press release and teleconference visual presentation are available on the Company’s website at aptiv.com . The information in this
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 60 - 2026-05-054d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, the Company made available certain supplemental investor information on its website at https://ir.aptiv.com , related to the separation of its Electrical Distribution Systems business which completed its spin-off into a new publicly traded company, Versigent PLC, on April 1, 2026.
mna activityneutralscore 47 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 2.01
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. On April 1, 2026, the Spin-Off was completed in accordance with the Separation and Distribution Agreement. The description of the Spin-Off included under the Introductory Note of this Current Report on Form 8-K is incorporated into this
mna activityneutralscore 30 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Prior to the Distribution Date, the Company and Versigent entered into a separation and distribution agreement (the “Separation and Distribution Agreement”) to effect the Spin-Off. The Separation and Distribution Agreement sets forth the Company’s agreements with Versigent regarding the principal actions to be taken in connection with the Spin-Off, and other agreements that govern aspects of the Company’s relationship with Versigent following the Sp…
mna activityneutralscore 28 - 2026-04-061mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. Aptiv PLC (the “Company”) previously announced that Aptiv Swiss Holdings Limited, a Jersey incorporated private limited company (“ASH”) and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, commenced a cash tender offer (the “Tender Offer”) to purchase its outstanding 3.250% Senior Notes due 2032, 5.150% Senior Notes due 2034, 5.750% Senior Notes due 2054, 5.400% Senior Notes due 2049, 4.400% Senior Notes due 2046, 4.150% Senior Notes due 2052 and 3.100% Senior Notes due 2051 (the “Note…
capital allocationneutralscore 25
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.