Aptiv (APTV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$47.95+3.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · APTV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $48 APTV trades at 6.5× p/e, below its 14× p/e peer median. Our $60 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $55–$94. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $67.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $38.71 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $82.72 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $54.82 | 13.5 | 4.05 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$55.00 – $94.00 (median $65.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-08-13
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $48.86 |
| 7.5 |
| 9.43 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $52.54 | 14.6 | 3.60 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $61.11 | 13.5 | 4.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $56.39 | 0.6 | 88.28 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $55.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $104.74 | 13.5 | 7.74 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $41.65 | 13.5 | 3.08 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $39.50 | 14.6 | 2.70 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $58.98 | 13.5 | 4.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $19.76 | 0.6 | 30.93 | guidance | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $34.68 | 13.5 | 2.56 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $32.65 | 14.6 | 2.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $29.31 | 13.5 | 2.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $9.82 | 0.6 | 15.37 | guidance | medium |