Aptiv (APTV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-07-08
$58.58-0.46%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $58.58. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $59 APTV trades at 7.5× p/e, below its 16× p/e peer median. Our $71 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $71–$97. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $75.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $191.95 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $239.48 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $12.06 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$71.00 – $97.00 (median $75.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-07-07
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $88.29 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $64.29 | 15.9 | 4.05 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $52.46 | 8.2 | 9.95 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $78.91 | 15.5 | 5.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $114.66 | 15.9 | 7.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $68.44 | 0.7 | 96.63 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $59.59 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $75.40 | 10.4 | 7.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $131.36 | 15.9 | 8.28 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $48.12 | 15.9 | 3.03 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $120.02 | 15.5 | 7.76 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $46.81 | 15.9 | 2.95 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $17.85 | 0.7 | 25.21 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $30.78 | 10.4 | 2.95 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $39.67 | 15.9 | 2.50 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $158.73 | 15.5 | 10.26 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $19.11 | 15.9 | 1.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $7.29 | 0.7 | 10.29 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $12.57 | 10.4 | 1.20 | Analyst | medium |