Avery Dennison (AVY)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-08
$164.40-0.99%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
Reading AVY? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track AVY free→NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-08
Reading AVY? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track AVY free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVY
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 14 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $164.40. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $164 AVY trades at 17× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $176 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $175–$222. Not investment advice.
$175.00 – $222.00 (median $206.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-06-04
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $9.79/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $206.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $395.76 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $439.12 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $66.29 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $80.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $235.07 | 23.5 | 10.00 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $192.32 | 14.3 | 16.72 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $363.77 | 32.1 | 11.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $233.07 | 23.5 | 9.91 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $245.27 | 2.1 | 116.96 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $181.29 | 18.3 | 9.91 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $58.32 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $184.30 | 18.6 | 9.91 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $232.02 | 23.5 | 9.87 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $311.90 | 23.5 | 13.27 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $553.25 | 32.1 | 17.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $281.14 | 23.5 | 11.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $280.14 | 2.1 | 133.59 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $218.67 | 18.3 | 11.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $222.30 | 18.6 | 11.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $376.61 | 23.5 | 16.02 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $731.68 | 32.1 | 22.80 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $306.61 | 23.5 | 13.04 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $305.52 | 2.1 | 145.69 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $238.49 | 18.3 | 13.04 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $242.45 | 18.6 | 13.04 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.