Bitcoin Depot Inc (BTMCQ)
NASDAQFinancialsCapital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsCapital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put BTMCQ beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Primary pillar broken — Manage revenue decline within 30% to 40% for 2026: Rev -60.0% vs 40.0% decline target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 9% on a typical day and fell roughly 94% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBTMCQ must manage revenue decline within 30% to 40% for 2026. Revenue decline is currently around 50-60% versus the 40% target. The last quarter's performance was weak, with significant revenue challenges. The company trades at a typical multiple compared to peers in the financial sector. This suggests that the current price does not fully reflect the revenue decline risk. If the company cuts guidance on the next call, that could lead to further declines. The miss probability for the next quarter is 88%. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-22. BTMCQ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare BTMCQ with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTMCQ Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Investment Banking & Brokerage — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BTMCQ next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-22. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Chapter 11 restructuring
Bankruptcy filing directly impacts Chapter 11 restructuring objective.
Threatens: Chapter 11 restructuring
Bankruptcy signals challenges for crypto ATM business model.
Threatens: Revenue decline management
Stock rating cut reflects revenue decline concerns.