D. R. Horton (DHI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$142.75-1.15%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DHI
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks DHI against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=6943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Achieve consolidated revenues in the range of $32.5 billion to $33.0 billion for fiscal year 2026 as updated in guidance.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management updated fiscal 2026 consolidated revenue guidance downward from $33.5-$35.0 billion in 2026-Q1 to $32.5-$33.0 billion in 2026-Q3. Actual revenue for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 was $23.7 billion. The trajectory shows management maintaining revenue growth targets but with a downward revision reflecting market conditions.
“D.R. Horton is updating its guidance for fiscal 2026: consolidated revenues in the range of $32.5 billion to $33.0 billion”
“D.R. Horton is updating its guidance for fiscal 2026: consolidated revenues in the range of $33.5 billion to $34.5 billion”
“D.R. Horton is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated revenues in the range of $33.5 billion to $35.0 billion”
Achieve home closings by homebuilding operations in the range of 83,800 to 84,300 homes for fiscal year 2026.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 3 quarters. Management revised home closing guidance downward from 86,000-87,500 in 2026-Q2 to 83,800-84,300 in 2026-Q3. Actual home closings for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 were 61,287 homes. The trajectory shows a downward revision but management continues to target high volume closings.
“Homes closed by homebuilding operations of 83,800 homes to 84,300 homes”
Execute share repurchases totaling approximately $2.5 billion during fiscal year 2026 as part of disciplined capital allocation.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reiterated a $2.5 billion share repurchase target for fiscal 2026. Actual repurchases through 2026-Q3 totaled $2.2 billion. The trajectory is delivering close to the stated target.
Maintain dividend payments totaling approximately $500 million during fiscal year 2026 as part of capital return strategy.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reiterated a dividend payment target of approximately $500 million for fiscal 2026. Actual dividends paid through 2026-Q3 were $388.3 million. The trajectory is consistent with the stated target.
Achieve consolidated cash flow provided by operations of at least $3.0 billion for fiscal year 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reiterated a target of at least $3.0 billion consolidated cash flow from operations for fiscal 2026. Actual cash flow for the first nine months was $880.8 million. The trajectory shows progress but full-year delivery remains to be seen.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.87x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 40% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=3652).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2538).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Homes closed by homebuilding operations of 86,000 homes to 87,500 homes”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: share repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: share repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: share repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: dividend payments of approximately $500 million”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: dividend payments of approximately $500 million”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: dividend payments of approximately $500 million”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated cash flow provided by operations of at least $3.0 billion”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated cash flow provided by operations of at least $3.0 billion”
“The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated cash flow provided by operations of at least $3.0 billion”