Eaton Corporation (ETN)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$353.08-9.86%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ETN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 14.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ETN — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-10-05
Controller — Andrea Trabacchin: The filing reports the internal promotion of Andrea Trabacchin to Principal Accounting Officer, replacing Adam Wadecki who moved to a different internal role, representing an orderly succession rather than a loss of executive talent.
Why it matters: Q2 organic growth was 14%, and Eaton set a 13.5% to 15.5% Q3 range. A result above the range would extend recent growth.
Supportive ifOn the November 3 earnings report, Q3 organic sales growth is above 15.5%.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth is below 13.5%.
Why it matters: Eaton gave a Q3 adjusted EPS range of $3.46 to $3.56. The result will test whether earnings meet that stated range.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EPS is at least $3.46 and no more than $3.56.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted EPS is below $3.46 or above $3.56.
Why it matters: The deal is set to close in Q1 2027, subject to Dana shareholder approval and regulatory clearance. Delays could put the stated timing at risk.
Watch forDana shareholders approve the deal. Regulators grant the needed clearances. Eaton keeps its Q1 2027 closing target.
Also watch forA required approval is denied, or Eaton or Dana says the deal will not close in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Eaton set a 24.1% to 24.5% full-year margin range. Q2 margins were 23.1%, so later results will show progress toward that goal.
Supportive ifEaton keeps full-year segment margin guidance at 24.1% to 24.5%, and Q3 margins are at least 24.6%.
Worry ifEaton cuts full-year segment margin guidance below 24.1%, or Q3 margins fall below 24.6%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$159 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $504 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,324 loss on $10,000 · 23.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.