Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD)
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.68-3.31%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put EXOD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Improve net income from -$32.14M in 2026-Q1: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 14% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on earnings delivery, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 80% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskExodus Movement trades at a steep discount to its sector peers. The stock sits in the 6th percentile of its peer group. This gap reflects a market view that expects less growth than we see. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 47%. The primary pillar is under pressure, but the comparison is unverified. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 61% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. EXOD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering EXOD (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for EXOD in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare EXOD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXOD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put EXOD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Complete acquisition of Baanx US Corp.
High reliance on acquisition assets raises integration concerns.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $4.68
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $4.68.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Expand and diversify revenue streams beyond core exchange business
Increased price target supports growth strategy.
Advances: Improve financial performance and address net losses
Opex savings directly improve financial performance.
