Ford Motor Company (F)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-07-07
$13.56-1.92%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track F free→Ford aims to increase adjusted EBIT to $10.5 billion in 2026. Free cash flow should reach $6 billion this year. Capital spending will stay near $10.5 billion. The company beat EPS by 247% in Q1 2026 despite a guidance cut.
Ford faces many recalls that could hurt profit guidance. Hyundai is gaining U.S. market share, challenging Ford. Management is volatile and recent guidance was cut. The stock is down 22% from its high.
The price is about 37% below our fair value near $22. Analysts expect about 4% revenue decline next year. Our fair value is well above the Street median near $15.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBIT guidance falls below $8.5 billion in FY26
Ford aims to increase its adjusted EBIT guidance for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBIT guidance increased from $8.0 billion to $10.0 billion in 2025-Q4 to $8.5 billion to $10.5 billion in 2026-Q1. The trajectory shows delivering on this priority with consistent upward revisions.
Breaks if: Capital expenditures exceed $10.5 billion or fall below $9.5 billion in FY26
Ford plans to maintain its capital expenditures within the set guidance range for 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capital expenditures guidance maintained at $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion. The consistency in guidance indicates a stable approach to capital allocation, aligning with management's stated priority.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $5.0 billion in FY26
Ford aims to achieve its adjusted free cash flow target for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted free cash flow guidance set at $5.0 billion to $6.0 billion, up from $2 billion to $3 billion in 2025-Q3. The upward revision indicates progress towards achieving the target, though delivery remains to be seen.
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“The company raised its adjusted EBIT guidance to $8.5 billion to $10.5 billion.”
“Outlook for full-year 2026 includes adjusted EBIT of $8.0 billion to $10.0 billion.”
“Ford now anticipates full-year adjusted EBIT of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion.”
“Capital expenditures of $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion.”
“Capital spending of $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion.”
“Capital expenditures of about $9 billion.”
“The company expects adjusted free cash flow of $5.0 billion to $6.0 billion.”
“Adjusted FCF of $5.0 billion to $6.0 billion.”
“Adjusted free cash flow of $2 billion to $3 billion.”