GE Vernova (GEV)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$941.95+0.01%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA margin at least 12% in FY26: EBITDA margin not reported vs 12.0% target.
GE Vernova grows revenue about 20% a year, reaching $45 billion in 2026. Profit margins improve to 12%-14%. Free cash flow rises to $6.5-$7.5 billion. The company shows stable management and steady execution.
Profit margins may stay fragile near 8%-9%. Free cash flow growth could stall below $6 billion. Elevated valuation at 58.5 PE risks a correction if growth slows.
The price is about 19% above our fair value near $907, reflecting roughly 20% revenue growth. Our fair value is 27% below the Street median, so the market is pricing in strong growth and margin improvement that must be delivered.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $6.5 billion in FY26
Breaks if: Major CEO or executive departures or guidance cuts occur
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 12% in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a stable growth investment with a focus on the Power and Electrification segments. The current thesis is supported by strong recent financial performance, although risks remain elevated due to sector headwinds.
The market appears to have priced in a justified valuation, reflecting a premium compared to peers. There is a low expectations gap, indicating that the current valuation may not fully account for potential future growth.
Management is on track with key priorities, including growth in Power and Electrification segments and increasing free cash flow. However, there is a near-term risk of earnings misses, which could impact sentiment.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers and GEV's ability to maintain its growth trajectory. Any cuts to guidance or negative earnings surprises could lead to unfavorable outcomes.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. There is potential growth in Power segments. This comes from new agreements in Venezuela that may boost demand. However, the company missed earnings expectations recently. This miss raises concerns about future performance.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $44.5 billion in FY26
Overall, GEV is navigating a complex environment but shows promise in its growth initiatives. Not investment advice.