GE Vernova (GEV)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-07-07
$1077.50-6.47%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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GE Vernova grows revenue about 20% a year, reaching $45 billion in 2026. Profit margins improve to 12%-14%. Free cash flow rises to $6.5-$7.5 billion. The company shows stable management and steady execution.
Profit margins may stay fragile near 8%-9%. Free cash flow growth could stall below $6 billion. Elevated valuation at 58.5 PE risks a correction if growth slows.
The price is about 19% above our fair value near $907, reflecting roughly 20% revenue growth. Our fair value is 27% below the Street median, so the market is pricing in strong growth and margin improvement that must be delivered.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $6.5 billion in FY26
GE Vernova aims to increase its free cash flow guidance for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow guidance increased to $6.5-$7.5 billion for 2026, up from $5.0-$5.5 billion in the previous quarter. The trajectory shows delivering on increased cash flow expectations.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“Guidance: 'free cash flow* of $6.5-$7.5 billion, up from $5.0-$5.5 billion.'”
“Guidance: 'free cash flow* of $5.0 -$5.5 billion, up from $4.5-$5.0 billion.'”
“Guidance: 'free cash flow* of $3.0-$3.5 billion.'”
Breaks if: Major CEO or executive departures or guidance cuts occur
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 12% in FY26
GE Vernova aims to improve its adjusted EBITDA margin for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance increased to 12%-14% for 2026, up from 11%-13% previously. The trajectory shows delivering on improved margin expectations.
“Guidance: 'adjusted EBITDA margin* of 12%-14%, up from 11%-13%.'”
“Guidance: 'adjusted EBITDA margin* of 11%-13%.'”
“Guidance: 'adjusted EBITDA margin* of 8%-9%.'”
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $44.5 billion in FY26
GE Vernova has raised its revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue guidance increased to $44.5-$45.5 billion for 2026, up from $44-$45 billion previously. The trajectory indicates delivering on raised revenue expectations.
“Guidance: 'we are raising our 2026 financial guidance.'”
“Guidance: 'GE Vernova now expects revenue of $44-$45 billion.'”
“Guidance: 'expects revenue to trend towards the higher end of $36-$37 billion.'”