Grocery Outlet (GO)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.38+0.65%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GO
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Execute the business optimization plan including closing underperforming stores, terminating leases and operator agreements to strengthen long-term profitability and cash flow generation.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Optimization Plan was adopted in 2026-Q1 and completed store closures by 2026-Q2, closing 36 underperforming stores. Operating income improved from a loss of $178.0 million in 2026-Q1 to a positive $15.8 million in 2026-Q2 despite $5.4 million restructuring charges. Management estimates $15 million to $24 million in restructuring charges over fiscal 2026 and 2027. The trajectory shows delivering progress on executing the plan and improving profitability.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=2094).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“Optimization Plan provides for closure of 36 underperforming stores and related lease and operator agreement terminations.”
“Board adopted Optimization Plan to close 36 financially underperforming stores and related lease and operator agreement terminations.”
“Announced Optimization Plan to improve operational execution, strengthen profitability and increase cash flow generation.”
Continue to target net sales in the range of $4.60 billion to $4.72 billion for fiscal year 2026, reflecting new store sales and comparable store sales trends.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reaffirmed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance around $4.60 to $4.72 billion, revising slightly to $4.70 to $4.72 billion in 2026-Q2. Revenue grew modestly in the first half of 2026 to $2.36 billion, a 2.3% increase year-over-year. The trajectory is consistent with management's guidance and delivering on revenue growth expectations.
“Revised fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to $4.70 to $4.72 billion.”
“Reaffirmed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance of $4.60 to $4.72 billion.”
“Maintaining fiscal 2025 net sales guidance of $4.7 billion to $4.8 billion.”
Target adjusted EBITDA in the range of $220 million to $235 million for fiscal year 2026, reflecting operational improvements and cost management.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2026 in the range of $220 million to $235 million, revising slightly to $225 million to $235 million in 2026-Q2. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $108.8 million in the first half of 2026, representing 4.6% of net sales. The trajectory shows progress but remains below full-year target at midyear, indicating mixed delivery.
“Adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to $225 million to $235 million for fiscal 2026.”
“Reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of $220 million to $235 million for fiscal 2026.”
“Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2025 was $258 million to $262 million.”
Sustain gross margin within the range of 29.7% to 30.0% for fiscal year 2026 despite promotional activities and inventory markdowns.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management reaffirmed gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026 at 29.7%-30.0%, revising slightly to 29.8%-30.0% in 2026-Q2. Actual gross margin was 29.9% in the first half of 2026, down slightly from 30.3% in prior year, impacted by promotions and markdowns. The trajectory shows mixed delivery with margin pressure but within guided range.
“Gross margin guidance revised to 29.8%-30.0% for fiscal 2026.”
“Reaffirmed gross margin guidance of 29.7%-30.0% for fiscal 2026.”
“Gross margin guidance for fiscal 2025 was 30.3%-30.4%.”
Enhance executive team with key leadership appointments in purchasing, merchandising, and finance to drive profitable growth and operational improvements.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The company appointed Paul Miller as Chief Purchasing and Merchandising Officer and Ian Ferry as Chief Financial Officer in June 2026 to strengthen leadership and support growth initiatives. This is a recent priority with no prior quarters stating it.
“Announced appointments of Paul Miller as Chief Purchasing and Merchandising Officer and Ian Ferry as Chief Financial Officer.”
Over the trailing year it converted -0.77x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=1251).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.