Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$15.58-9.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-05
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Put GRPN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth to at least $518 million in 2026: Revenue: $124.67M.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 26% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 53% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGroupon's revenue must reach $518 million in 2026 to justify the current price. The company reported only $124.67 million in revenue so far this year. This gap puts the primary growth pillar under significant pressure. The stock trades at 1.2 times sales versus a 1.0 times peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecasts suggest. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 41 percent. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-05. GRPN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering GRPN (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Interactive Media & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put GRPN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Execute Project Foundry AI-native transformation
AI-native transformation aligns with growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-05. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Attracting younger generations supports customer growth objective.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Viral interest may grow active customers and organic growth.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
COO appointment and restructuring support cost reduction goals.
Advances: Achieve Adjusted EBITDA of $75M to $80M in 2026
Earnings beat indicates progress towards EBITDA target.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
Cost cuts and COO hire support restructuring objectives.
Threatens: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings beat but revenue decrease threatens growth objectives.
Advances: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings and revenue beat supports growth objectives.