Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.87+0.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put GRPN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 60% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGRPN's growth depends on successfully executing its AI-native transformation and restructuring plan. Recent financial performance has weakened, dropping to the bottom half of its industry. Revenue growth expectations appear modest compared to our view. The stock trades at 1.5× price-to-sales versus a peer median of 1.0×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than we forecast. A specific risk is the 39% probability of missing earnings expectations in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 3% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. GRPN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering GRPN (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Interactive Media & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GRPN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Execute Project Foundry AI-native transformation
AI-native transformation aligns with growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Attracting younger generations supports customer growth objective.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Viral interest may grow active customers and organic growth.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
COO appointment and restructuring support cost reduction goals.
Advances: Achieve Adjusted EBITDA of $75M to $80M in 2026
Earnings beat indicates progress towards EBITDA target.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
Cost cuts and COO hire support restructuring objectives.
Threatens: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings beat but revenue decrease threatens growth objectives.
Advances: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings and revenue beat supports growth objectives.