Lear (LEA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$118.70+1.65%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put LEA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Automotive Parts & Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Lear's cost-cutting engine has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue growth is slowing, with the latest quarter up 2% year over year. The company beat its earnings estimate by 11.7% in the third quarter. It trades at 8x earnings versus a 12x peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. China demand weakness threatens the 2026 revenue outlook. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% above where it trades. Our read remains intact, though this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. LEA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 16 analysts currently covering LEA (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LEA in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare LEA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automotive Parts & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LEA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Deliver the 2026 financial outlook
Q3 EPS beat supports execution toward the 2026 outlook, though one quarter does not establish delivery.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $118.70
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $118.70.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Return cash through repurchases while maintaining the dividend
Reported multiyear buyback and automation savings support capital returns and cost objectives.
Threatens: Raise and deliver the 2026 financial outlook
A weak revenue outlook and sharp share-price decline challenge delivery of the 2026 financial outlook.
Advances: Increase share repurchase pace while sustaining dividend
Increased share repurchase supports capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Increase share repurchase pace while sustaining dividend
Increased buyback supports capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Expand Seating and E-Systems leadership with new business awards
Earnings beat indicates strong E-Systems performance and margin growth.