Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-07-08
$95.15-1.83%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Track MNST free→Warn: Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
Monster Beverage grows sales about 12% a year, led by international markets. Profit margins stay strong near current levels. The company returns capital with $100 million in share repurchases in 2026-Q1. Innovation and new products support growth.
Revenue growth slows below 7% as international expansion stalls. Profit margins shrink from current levels near 34%. Share repurchases slow or stop, reducing capital return. Innovation pipeline fails to deliver new hits.
The stock price is about 29% above our fair value near $75 and 21% below the Street median near $95. Analysts expect about 12% revenue growth. Our view is more cautious on valuation but aligned on growth.
Breaks if: Innovation pipeline fails to produce meaningful new products next year
Focus on growth through innovation and introduction of new products.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: International sales growth falls below 7% YoY next year
Increase sales to customers outside the United States.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. International sales increased 44.9% to $1.06 billion in 2026-Q1, representing 45% of total sales. This shows strong delivery on the priority to expand international sales, contributing significantly to overall growth.
“CEO: 'Net sales to customers outside the United States increased 44.9%.'”
“CEO: 'International sales are a key growth area.'”
Breaks if: Profit margin falls below 30% next year
Breaks if: Repurchases fall below $50 million in 2026-Q1
Continue the share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company purchased 1.4 million shares for $100 million in 2026-Q1, with $400 million remaining for repurchase. This indicates ongoing commitment to capital allocation through buybacks, delivering on stated priorities.
“Board authorized a new repurchase program for up to $500 million.”
“Approximately $400 million remained available for repurchase.”