Mosaic Company (The) (MOS)
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$25.85+1.41%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MOS
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks MOS against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=1946).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue disciplined capital spending with a 2026 capex guidance reduced to $1.2 billion from prior $1.25 billion, focusing on optimizing project portfolio and deferring less-time sensitive spending.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capital expenditure guidance was $1.25 billion in 2026-Q1 and reduced to $1.2 billion in 2026-Q2. This reflects management's ongoing focus on disciplined capital allocation and deferral of less-time sensitive projects. The trajectory is delivering consistent with management's stated capital discipline.
“2026 outlook for capital expenditures reduced to $1.2 billion”
“Mosaic has adjusted its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $1.25 billion.”
“Mosaic expects 2026 capital expenditures to be approximately $1.5 billion”
Continue idling and demobilizing Araxá Mining and Chemical Complex and related Patrocínio mining activities, while exploring strategic alternatives including potential sale and niobium opportunities.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management has consistently communicated the idling and demobilization of Araxá and Patrocínio assets and the pursuit of strategic alternatives including potential sale and niobium exploration. The financial impact includes impairments and operating losses in these segments, reflecting mixed progress consistent with ongoing restructuring.
Target phosphate sales volumes in the third quarter of 2026 to be between 1.1 and 1.4 million tonnes, reflecting partial production curtailments and market conditions.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 3 quarters. Management set phosphate sales volume guidance of 1.7-1.9 million tonnes in 2026-Q1 and 1.1-1.4 million tonnes in 2026-Q2 for Q3 2026. Actual sales volumes declined from 1.9 million tonnes in 2026-Q1 to 1.4 million tonnes in 2026-Q2, reflecting partial production curtailments. The trajectory shows mixed progress with volumes below early guidance.
Maintain potash production at approximately 9 million tonnes in 2026, supported by strong production at Esterhazy and offsetting divestitures.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management consistently guided potash production at approximately 9 million tonnes for 2026. Production volumes were 2.2 million tonnes in 2026-Q1 and 1.8 million tonnes in 2026-Q2, with expectations for weighted production in the second half of the year. The trajectory is delivering consistent with guidance.
“Mosaic continues to expect total potash production of approximately 9 million tonnes in 2026.”
Pursue ongoing cost reduction and efficiency programs aiming to achieve $150 million in annualized savings, including streamlining support functions and operational improvements.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Management has consistently communicated progress toward a $150 million cost savings target, with partial realization in 2024 and ongoing initiatives in 2025 including streamlining support functions. Financials show SG&A expense reductions and operational improvements consistent with this focus, indicating delivering trajectory.
Over the trailing year it converted 1.55x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated robust grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=1401).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates (low R² over the window).
11 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=976).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Progress continued on strategic alternatives for the Araxá and Patrocínio assets in Brazil.”
“Mosaic announced a plan to pursue strategic alternatives for its Araxá and Patrocínio assets in Brazil.”
“Mosaic expects to complete studies to define Niobium opportunity at Patrocínio and Araxá and reengage interested parties in 2026.”
“Third-quarter phosphate sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.1 - 1.4 million tonnes.”
“First quarter phosphate sales volumes are expected to recover sequentially to 1.7 to 1.9 million tonnes.”
“Mosaic continues to expect total potash production of approximately 9 million tonnes in 2026.”
“2025 potash production totaled 8.8 million tonnes; 2026 expected approximately 9 million tonnes.”
“Mosaic has executed a cost saving initiative aimed at streamlining support functions. Annualized savings expected to total $50 million, including $15 million in 2026.”
“In 2024, the company realized approximately half of its $150 million cost saving target and is on track to achieve full run rate by end of 2025.”
“Mosaic made significant progress in 2025, delivered meaningful cost and efficiency progress.”
“Mosaic continued to make progress toward its $150 million cost saving target and is on track to achieve full run rate savings by end of 2025.”