NOC
Northrop GrummanNYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, NOC has a composite score of 22.2, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.0 and strengths in quality (70.9) and valuation (73.1), which is labeled as "inexpensive." The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors as top drivers, including macro growth, labor, rates, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.47
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $6.85 → $6.82 (-0.4% / 30d). 4 raised, 8 cut, 17 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.6% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 28%; 252d 26%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −28%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.48 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 57/100, drawdown 43/100, beta 48/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NOC Northrop Grumman | +22 | inexpensive | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2025-11-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2025-11-06)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2117d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 21, 2026 , Northrop Grumman Corporation issued an earnings release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, under the heading “Northrop Grumman Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results.” The earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 44 - 2026-02-132mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d) On February 12, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Northrop Grumman Corporation (the "Company") elected Admiral Christopher W. Grady to the Board effective that date. Admiral Grady most recently served as the 12th Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the United States' second highest-ranking military officer, from December 202…
executive changeneutralscore 8 - 2026-01-273mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 27, 2026 , Northrop Grumman Corporation issued an earnings release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, under the heading “Northrop Grumman Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results.” The earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.