Smurfit Westrock (SW)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-08
$44.99-1.42%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-18.5) + peer(0.2*10.9) + term(0.0) → -4.28% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 21 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
by reference. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
by reference. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
by reference. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
by reference. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described above, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
by reference. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described above, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
by reference. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described above, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2024, Smurfit Westrock plc (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Due to the timing of the completion of the combination of Smurfit Kappa Group plc and WestRock Company (“WestRock”) on July 5, 2024, these results do not include the results of legacy WestRock for the first five days of July. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorpor…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 30, 2024, the Company will host a conference call during which it will discuss the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024 and other topics that may be raised during the discussion. The presentation to be used in connection with the conference call is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described above, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 30, 2024, Smurfit Westrock plc (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024 of Smurfit Kappa Group plc (“Smurfit Kappa”). Due to the timing of the completion of the combination of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock Company (the “Combination”) subsequent to the end of the quarter, these results do not include the results of WestRock Company. As of June 30, 2024, and prior to the…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.