Smurfit Westrock (SW)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SW
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-11-04.
The screen ranks SW against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=2600).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
We have also implemented significant pricing initiatives across most paper grades and we expect these should more than offset input costs as these increases are passed through.
Stated in 2 of 8 supplied quarters. Management reported: “We have also implemented significant pricing initiatives across most paper grades and we expect these should more than offset input costs as these increases are passed through.” “As always, we fully expect to recover input cost inflation through the second half of the year and beyond.” Gross profit was $1.440 billion in 2026-Q3.
“We have also implemented significant pricing initiatives across most paper grades and we expect these should more than offset input costs as these increases are passed through.”
“As always, we fully expect to recover input cost inflation through the second half of the year and beyond.”
“Our North American business represents our largest value creation opportunity.
Stated in 2 of 8 supplied quarters. Management reported: ““Our North American business represents our largest value creation opportunity.” ““While at the early stages of our journey, I am pleased to deliver a significant improvement in our North American operations, with an Adjusted EBITDA of $752 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8% for the quarter, as a result of our sharper operating focus and the benefit of our synergy program.”
““Our North American business represents our largest value creation opportunity.”
1 “We also continued to optimize our system with a mill closure in the UK and are in the process of closing a further 8 facilities in our converting business in both Europe and the North American reg…
Stated in 4 of 8 supplied quarters. Management reported: “1 “We also continued to optimize our system with a mill closure in the UK and are in the process of closing a further 8 facilities in our converting business in both Europe and the North American region.” “We also reduced loss making businesses and closed approximately 600,000 tons of high-cost or inefficient capacity as we continued to focus on portfolio optimization.”
With input costs remaining elevated, especially freight, we currently expect third quarter Adjusted EBITDA 2 to be approximately $1.3 billion and for the full year Adjusted EBITDA 2 we expect to be i…
We have also implemented significant pricing initiatives across most paper grades and we expect these should more than offset input costs as these increases are passed through.
Over the trailing year it converted 1.64x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated robust grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=1429).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated stable grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=1843).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-11-04.
““While at the early stages of our journey, I am pleased to deliver a significant improvement in our North American operations, with an Adjusted EBITDA of $752 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of…”
“1 “We also continued to optimize our system with a mill closure in the UK and are in the process of closing a further 8 facilities in our converting business in both Europe and the North American reg…”
“We also reduced loss making businesses and closed approximately 600,000 tons of high-cost or inefficient capacity as we continued to focus on portfolio optimization.”
“Our corrugated operations continue to focus on value over volume and exiting uneconomic business.”
“We have recently announced the closure of over 500,000 tons of paper capacity in North America.”