Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
NYSEIndustrialsTools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-07-07
$89.39-3.42%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
Reading SWK? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track SWK free→NYSEIndustrialsTools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-07-07
Reading SWK? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track SWK free→Warn: Recent financial performance slipped notably this past month, though still top-half.
Stanley Black & Decker aims for $5.7 EPS in 2026. Free cash flow target is $700 million. The company beat EPS estimates recently. Valuation is cheap compared to peers.
Revenue growth is weak, with recent declines. Free cash flow progress is limited. Management has volatile execution and soft guidance.
Price is about 7% below our fair value near $97. Analysts expect about 1% revenue growth. We see risk in meeting cash flow and EPS targets.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $4.9 in FY26
Aim to enhance earnings per share through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives.
Stated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The company has set an EPS guidance range of $4.90 to $5.70 for 2026. However, diluted EPS was $0.34 in 2025-Q3 and $0.67 in 2025-Q2, showing limited progress towards the higher guidance range. The trajectory indicates a need for further improvement to meet targets.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“The Company continues to expect adjusted EPS* in the range of $4.90 to $5.70.”
“the Company expects 2026 EPS to be in the range of $3.15 to $4.35 on a GAAP basis.”
“The 2025 EPS for management’s base planning scenario is revised to $2.55 to $2.70 on a GAAP basis.”
“the 2025 EPS for management’s base planning scenario is $3.45 (+/- $0.10) on a GAAP basis.”
“The 2025 EPS for this scenario is $3.30 (+/- $0.15) on a GAAP basis.”
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $500 million in FY26
Focus on increasing free cash flow to meet or exceed guidance targets.
Stated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The company has consistently targeted free cash flow improvements, with the latest guidance for 2026 set at $500 to $700 million. Despite previous targets, the financials show cash from operating activities fluctuating, with $1.09 billion in 2025-Q4 and $221 million in 2025-Q3, indicating limited progress towards stable free cash flow growth.
“Free cash flow* is expected to be in the range of $500 to $700 million.”
“The Company is targeting free cash flow* to be in the range of $700 to $900 million.”
“The Company is targeting free cash flow* to approximate $600 million, unchanged from last quarter.”
“The Company is targeting annual free cash flow* to approximate $600 million.”
“The Company is targeting free cash flow* to meet or exceed $500 million.”
Breaks if: Revenue growth falls below 0.6% YoY next year