Walmart (WMT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-07-07
$111.54+0.80%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track WMT free→Walmart grows eCommerce sales 26% in 2026-Q2. Operating income rose 5% in 2026-Q2. It has a $30 billion share buyback program. Price cuts and store remodels boost online and store sales.
Rising competition forces Walmart to cut prices, hurting profit margins. Store closures in some states show challenges. Guidance cuts signal slower profit growth ahead.
The price is about 28% above our fair value near $87. Analysts expect 5% revenue growth, which is priced in. Our fair value is well below the Street median near $140.
Breaks if: eCommerce sales growth falls below 5% YoY next year
Focus on increasing eCommerce sales globally, leveraging store-fulfilled delivery and marketplace.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. eCommerce sales grew 26% globally in 2026-Q2, following 24% growth in 2026-Q1 and 2025-Q4. The consistent growth trajectory indicates delivering on this priority.
Breaks if: Operating income growth falls below 3% YoY next year
Aim to grow operating income faster than sales, leveraging improved eCommerce economics.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income grew 5.0% in 2026-Q2, following 10.8% growth in 2026-Q1 and 2025-Q4. Despite higher fuel costs, the trajectory shows progress in achieving this priority.
Breaks if: Operating margin falls below 6% next quarter
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $170 billion next quarter
Breaks if: Share repurchases fall below $5 billion YTD next year
Continue the share repurchase program with a new $30 billion authorization.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. A new $30 billion share repurchase authorization was announced in 2026-Q1, following $8.1 billion in repurchases YTD in 2025-Q4. The program is progressing as planned.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“eCommerce sales up 26% globally, led by store-fulfilled pickup & delivery and marketplace.”
“Globally, eCommerce grew 24% with strength across segments.”
“eCommerce sales up 24% globally.”
“Operating income up 5.0%, negatively affected by 250 bps from higher fuel costs.”
“Operating income growing faster at 10.8%, up 10.5% adjusted (cc).”
“Operating income up $0.8 billion, or 10.8%; up 10.5% adjusted (cc).”
“Company announces new $30 billion share repurchase authorization.”
“Repurchased 85.0 million shares YTD, or $8.1 billion.”