Gemini Space Station Inc (GEMI)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put GEMI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Investment Banking & Brokerage is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating profit near $525 million in 2025: TTM operating margin -195.1% vs $520M target.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 4% a day.
View RiskGEMI's growth depends on expanding into prediction markets to justify its current valuation. Revenue surged 37% year over year, but the latest earnings miss raises concerns. It trades at 2.7× price-to-sales, in line with its peer median, while expectations look modest versus our view. The primary risk is a potential guidance cut, with a 40% probability of missing next quarter's estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 22% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. GEMI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 9 analysts currently covering GEMI (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GEMI in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare GEMI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEMI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Investment Banking & Brokerage — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GEMI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand diversified revenue streams beyond crypto trading
Winning arbitration supports revenue diversification efforts.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $4.68
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $4.68.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.

Advances: Expand diversified revenue streams beyond crypto trading
Supports expansion of diversified revenue streams beyond crypto trading.

Advances: Expand diversified revenue streams beyond crypto trading
Revenue surge supports diversified revenue stream expansion.

Threatens: Reduce operating expenses
Wider loss impacts cost reduction efforts.

Class action may impact investor confidence.
Price target cut indicates valuation concerns.