Ingersoll Rand (IR)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-07-07
$78.70-2.39%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track IR free→A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. Slower and deeper than the daily snapshot — it refreshes only when the evidence moves.
This investment represents a stable, long-term thesis with a focus on consistent revenue and earnings growth. The current state reflects a mix of strong financial performance and some uncertainty in management's ability to meet all targets.
The market currently prices IR at a premium compared to its peers, indicating that investors have high expectations for its performance. The valuation appears justified, but there is a narrow expectations gap, suggesting limited room for error.
Management has reaffirmed its revenue growth guidance, which is on track, while adjusted EPS and EBITDA targets show mixed progress. The near-term risk of missing these targets is low, but it is important to monitor industry peers for any signs of weakness.
The long-term thesis hinges on maintaining revenue growth guidance and the performance of sector bellwethers like GEV, ETN, and PH. Any changes in guidance from these companies could significantly impact IR's trajectory.
Overall, IR's fundamentals are stable, but the company must navigate mixed signals in its management priorities and industry performance. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.
Yes, our read has strengthened. This improvement is driven by the latest earnings beat and the maintenance of full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance, which reinforces confidence in the company's performance. There are no significant threats noted that would weaken this outlook.
as of 2026-07-07
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Keeping revenue growth guidance shows the company can carry out its plan. It is a key sign of business health.
Confirms:Q2 2026 revenue growth reported between 2.5% to 4.5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 2026 revenue growth falls below 2.5% year over year.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Why it matters: This acquisition will help Ingersoll Rand get better at dosing pumps.
Confirms:Announcement confirming the acquisition of Fox s.r.l. has closed.
Disproves:Delay or cancellation of the Fox s.r.l. acquisition.
Why it matters: Maintaining guidance shows confidence in future sales. Any change could signal trouble.
Confirms:Management says full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance is the same.
Disproves:Management cuts revenue growth guidance for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: This target is important for checking how well the company runs and makes money. It affects how investors feel.
Confirms:Adjusted EBITDA reported in Q2 2026 falls within the range of $2,130 to $2,190 million.
Disproves:Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026 is less than $2,130 million.
Why it matters: A return to growth in the sector could boost Ingersoll Rand's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up to nearly 10% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth slows down to below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: If organic revenue growth stabilizes, it will help Ingersoll Rand meet its revenue goals.
Confirms:Q2 organic revenue growth reported at 0% or better compared to Q1.
Disproves:Q2 organic revenue growth was worse than -2%. This shows a continued decline.
Why it matters: Hitting this EPS target shows good profits and smart cost control. It shows the company's financial health.
Confirms:Adjusted EPS reported in Q2 2026 falls within the range of $3.45 to $3.57.
Disproves:Adjusted EPS reported in Q2 2026 is below $3.45.
Why it matters: A better EBITDA margin shows that the company is more efficient and makes more money.
Confirms:The adjusted EBITDA margin was above 25.4% for Q2.
Disproves:The adjusted EBITDA margin was below 25.4% for Q2.