Ingersoll Rand (IR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$76.36+1.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Adjusted EPS of $3.45 to $3.57 for 2026: FY26 EPS guidance $3.45-$3.57 vs target $3.45-$3.57; Q2 FY26 EPS $0.86 beat consensus by 7.5%.
Ingersoll Rand grows revenue about 2.5% to 4.5% in 2026. Profit margins stay strong with adjusted EBITDA near $2.13 to $2.19 billion. Adjusted EPS targets $3.45 to $3.57 for the year. The company has a stable management team and solid execution.
Revenue growth could slow below 2.5% if demand weakens. Profit margins might compress if costs rise or competition intensifies. EPS may miss targets if operational challenges occur.
The stock price is about 4% above our valuation level and reflects roughly 4% revenue growth expected by analysts. Our valuation is about 16% below the median analyst price range, indicating some caution compared to Street optimism.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA falls below $2.13 billion in FY26
Breaks if: Adjusted EPS falls below $3.45 in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue growth falls below 2.5% in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a stable compounder with a focus on consistent revenue and earnings growth. The current thesis is intact, but recent changes in signals indicate a mixed outlook.
The valuation is considered expensive compared to peers, with a slight expectations gap. The market appears to have priced in a level of stability, but there is a premium compared to similar companies.
Management is on track to meet its revenue and earnings targets for 2026, reflecting a commitment to growth. However, there is a moderate risk due to the potential for guidance cuts, which could impact future performance.
The long-term thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like GEV, PH, and TT. If these companies continue to perform well, it could support IR's growth; conversely, any negative shifts could pose risks.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed'.
Yes, our read has weakened. The recent sharp drop in IR's stock price suggests a potential repricing of the thesis. Despite this, the company achieved a recent earnings beat and maintained its full-year revenue growth guidance of 4.5% to 6.5%. These factors indicate some underlying strength, but the overall sentiment has shifted negatively.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Overall, IR shows a stable outlook for the next 1-3 years, but investors should monitor sector performance closely. Not investment advice.