Ingersoll Rand (IR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$76.36+1.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
IR — officer change
Dated 2026-06-16
The excerpt is incomplete and does not provide enough information to determine the specific nature of the event.
Why it matters: Hitting the revenue growth target shows the company can follow its plan. It proves Ingersoll Rand can keep growing in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is between 2.5% and 4.5% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is below 2.5% compared to Q2 2025.
Why it matters: Meeting the adjusted EBITDA target shows good operations and cost control. It helps the company's financial health.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 is within the range of $2,130 million to $2,190 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 is below $2,130 million.
Why it matters: This acquisition will improve Ingersoll Rand's skills in dosing pumps. A good integration can lead to growth.
Supportive ifThe acquisition of Fox s.r.l. closes on April 30, 2026, and is successfully integrated.
Worry ifThe acquisition may not close as planned or could face big integration problems.
Why it matters: A return to growth in the sector could boost Ingersoll Rand's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to nearly 10% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down to below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$145 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $309 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,058 loss on $10,000 · 30.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If organic revenue growth stabilizes, it will help Ingersoll Rand meet its revenue goals.
Supportive ifQ2 organic revenue growth reported at 0% or better compared to Q1.
Worry ifQ2 organic revenue growth was worse than -2%. This shows a continued decline.
Why it matters: Meeting this EPS target shows strong profits. It also helps build investor trust.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS reaches between $3.45 and $3.57 for 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS falls below $3.45 for 2026.
Why it matters: Management aims for 4.5% to 6.5% revenue growth in 2026. Confirmation shows strong demand.
Supportive ifManagement says Q3 revenue growth will be between 4.5% and 6.5%.
Worry ifManagement lowers Q3 revenue growth guidance to below 4.5%.
Why it matters: Hitting this EPS target shows good cost control and strong profits.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS reported in Q3 falls within $3.45 to $3.57.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS reported in Q3 falls below $3.45.
Why it matters: Changes in EBITDA margin show how well the company manages costs.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA margin goes above 25.4% in Q3.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 25.4% in Q3.