Ingersoll Rand (IR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$81.85-2.77%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 46 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IR — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-30
Senior Vice President — Michael Weatherred: The filing reports the retirement of a Senior Vice President who is transitioning to an advisory role, alongside a retention package for the CEO, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: IT&S orders rose 22% organically, and its book-to-bill was 1.17x. A book-to-bill above 1.0x means orders exceed sales.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, IT&S book-to-bill stays above 1.0x and organic orders grow year over year.
Worry ifIT&S book-to-bill falls below 1.0x and organic orders decline year over year.
Why it matters: The company reported $425.1 million in total recoveries and said it had collected part of the amount. The remaining cash supports the cash flow outlook.
Supportive ifA company update confirms it collected the rest of the ILC Dover recovery in Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe company reports it did not collect some of the remaining recovery in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Q3 results lifted the full-year revenue growth range to 5.5%–7.0%. Meeting its low end would confirm stronger sales growth.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue growth is at least 5.5%, against 2025.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue growth is below 5.5%, or the company cuts its range.
Why it matters: The company said the pump maker deal was due to close on October 30. Its closed deals are part of the revenue growth outlook.
Supportive ifA company filing or release confirms the pump maker deal closed and counts it as completed M&A.
Worry ifThe deal does not close, or the company removes its revenue contribution from the outlook.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$112 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $292 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,058 loss on $10,000 · 30.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The latest score update marked a sharp drop in company momentum after earnings. The next results can show whether sales and orders keep growing.
Watch forAt the next results, organic revenue and orders both grow year over year.
Also watch forAt the next results, organic revenue or orders decline year over year.