Wayfair Inc (W)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$123.56+11.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put W beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 36%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 21% growth a year, above the roughly 10% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskWayfair's top-line growth must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year in the latest quarter. The company also beat earnings estimates by 187.9%. It trades at 50 times earnings versus a 15 times peer median. This premium reflects modest expectations versus our view. A guidance cut would be a meaningful negative for the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 14% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. W is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 33 analysts currently covering W (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for W in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put W next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $123.56
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $123.56.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Confirms topline growth and EBITDA margin targets.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
Q3 beat confirms topline growth and EBITDA flow-through.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
US market share gains directly support topline growth objective.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
10% sales jump confirms strong topline growth and market share.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
EPS and revenue beats validate EBITDA flow-through and growth.
Advances: Drive topline growth and EBITDA flow-through
A new large-format store modestly supports topline growth, but opening dates alone offer limited evidence of financial impact.
Threatens: Repurchase convertible senior notes to manage dilution
CEO stock sale raises concerns about confidence in company.
Fines may impact financial performance and reputation.
