Morgan Stanley (MS)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$193.99+4.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 34.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MS — dividend update
Dated 2026-02-11
Other Events Morgan Stanley (the “Firm”) today announced that the Compensation, Management Development and Succession Committee of the Firm's Board of Directors (the “Compensation Committee”) has determined in consultation with the Firm's Board of Directors the 2025 compensation for Edward Pick, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) of the Firm. The Compensation Committee based its decision of Mr. Pick’s 2025 compensation on its assessment of his outstanding performance during his seco…
Why it matters: More than half of Q3's $232B came from IPO-related flows. A sharp drop would test whether asset growth lasts without that boost.
Worry ifQ4 net new assets fall below $116B, half of the Q3 total of $232B.
Less concerning ifQ4 net new assets reach or exceed $232B, matching the Q3 record.
Why it matters: The Fed said a new stress buffer may apply on October 1, 2027. A higher buffer could limit capital available for buybacks and investment.
Watch forThe 2027 Fed stress test leaves Morgan Stanley's stress capital buffer at or below 4.3%.
Also watch forThe 2027 Fed stress test sets Morgan Stanley's stress capital buffer above 4.3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$108 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $294 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,191 loss on $10,000 · 21.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.