Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.88+0.68%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put ACEL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve revenue near $1.3 billion in 2026: FY26 revenue guidance $720M vs $1.3B target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskACEL's growth depends on expanding the Chicago VGT market to justify its price. Revenue grew 10% year over year, but the latest quarter missed expectations. It trades at 12× P/E versus a 15× peer median, indicating modest growth expectations priced in. If ACEL cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a significant negative. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades. The thesis has broken due to a primary pillar being broken, as FY26 revenue guidance is $720 million versus a $1.3 billion target.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. ACEL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering ACEL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ACEL in the last 4 months.
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Compare ACEL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACEL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Casinos & Gaming — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ACEL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand Chicago VGT market
Unlocking earnings upside supports Chicago VGT market expansion.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $11.88
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $11.88.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
CEO stock sale raises concerns about leadership commitment.
Advances: Expand Chicago VGT market
Focus on Chicago market aligns with growth objectives.