Bally's Corp. (BALY)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.48+3.69%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put BALY beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Cash from operations improves to positive: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 54% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBally's new casino expansion has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue growth is not accelerating, and the company remains unprofitable. The Bronx project secured $400M in financing to support this buildout. The stock trades at 0.3x sales versus a 0.8x peer median. Expectations look modest, so the price does not reflect full growth. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 81%. A going concern warning highlights real liquidity risks for the firm. Peer multiples imply a price about 45% above where it trades. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. BALY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering BALY (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BALY in the last 4 months.
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Compare BALY with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALY Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Casinos & Gaming — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put BALY next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Develop and open new casino resorts in Chicago, Bronx, and Las Vegas
Financing confirms progress on Bronx casino development.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $13.48
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $13.48.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Manage capital structure and credit agreements
Going concern warning raises liquidity concerns.
Advances: Grow consolidated revenue and segment revenues
Revenue growth offsets tax impact, supports revenue goals.
Threatens: Develop and open new casino resorts in Chicago, Bronx, and Las Vegas
Concerns about Bronx casino development impact growth objectives.
Threatens: Manage capital structure and credit agreements
Construction pause indicates potential funding issues.
Threatens: Manage capital structure and credit agreements
Liquidity issues threaten Chicago casino project.
Threatens: Manage capital structure and credit agreements
Fresh funding needs indicate financial instability.
Evoke's guidance withholding raises concerns about acquisition success.
