FedEx Freight (FDXF)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$129.43-0.64%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put FDXF beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Cargo Ground Transportation is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain operating margin near 9% to 9.5%: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskFedEx Freight must sustain 4% to 6% revenue growth to justify its price. Recent revenue grew 9.2% year over year. The company beat its last quarterly earnings estimate. We cannot anchor a clean multiple for this stock right now. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 16%. The primary operating margin pillar is under pressure. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 15% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. FDXF is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering FDXF (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FDXF in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare FDXF with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDXF Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Cargo Ground Transportation — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put FDXF next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 4% to 6% in transition period
Quarterly beat and analyst support strengthen confidence in transition-period growth targets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $129.43
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $129.43.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Advances: Drive profitable growth with service differentiation
Improving volumes and pricing support profitable growth and service differentiation.
Advances: Drive profitable growth with service differentiation
Analyst upgrade supports growth and service differentiation strategy.
Leadership change may disrupt strategic execution and growth.
Advances: Drive profitable growth with service differentiation
Details on LTL strategy support growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 4% to 6% in transition period
Stabilizing demand aligns with revenue growth goals.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 4% to 6% in transition period
Forecasts align with revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Improve operating margin and adjusted operating income
Yield-led growth supports margin improvement.
