Molina Healthcare (MOH)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Healthcare PlansSnapshot 2026-11-05
$216.64-4.32%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Healthcare PlansSnapshot 2026-11-05
Research Workspace
Put MOH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — premium revenue of approximately $42 billion in 2026: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 39% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMolina's 2027 premium growth must sustain to justify the current price. Revenue is shrinking, with the latest quarter down 4% year over year. The company beat earnings estimates by 23.6% in the third quarter. It trades at 0.3 times sales versus a 3.4 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. The primary pillar is under pressure, but the comparison is unverified. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-05. MOH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 19 analysts currently covering MOH (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MOH in the last 4 months.
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Compare MOH with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Managed Health Care — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put MOH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Reaffirm full-year 2026 earnings and premium revenue guidance
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-05. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $216.64
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $216.64.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
2027 premium and EPS targets signal growth, but do not reaffirm 2026 guidance.
Threatens: Strategic exit of Medicare Advantage Part D product
Strategic exit of Medicare Advantage Part D product threatens revenue growth.
Advances: Reaffirm full-year 2026 premium revenue guidance
Strong Q1 results support full-year premium revenue guidance.
Advances: Expand Medicaid membership via Illinois contract
Medicaid clarity supports expansion of membership via Illinois contract.
Advances: Expand Medicaid membership via Illinois contract
Medicaid clarity supports expansion of membership via Illinois contract.
Threatens: Strategic exit of Medicare Advantage Part D product
2027 ACA pullback may impact growth and revenue guidance.
Advances: Expand Medicaid membership via Illinois contract
Strong Medicaid performance supports growth objective.
Advances: Reaffirm full-year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance
Lifting profit forecast indicates strong earnings outlook.
