Gap Inc. (GAP)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$22.43+0.49%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put GAP beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail: structurally weak cohort (structural / late-cycle), so the cyclical early-warning is suppressed.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating income at or above $445 million next quarter: Operating income not reported.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskGAP's growth depends on its ability to drive brand reinvigoration and transformation. Recent earnings showed a profit of $501 million, with adjusted EPS of 52 cents, exceeding expectations. However, revenue of $3.65 billion missed analyst forecasts. The stock trades at 11× P/E, below the peer median of 16×, suggesting the market reflects modest growth expectations. A specific risk is the lowered guidance for Old Navy, which could impact overall sales. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. GAP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering GAP (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GAP in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare GAP with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GAP next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
Store closures indicate struggles in brand reinvigoration.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $22.43
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $22.43.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
New CEO appointment aims to improve Old Navy's performance.
Threatens: Manage tariff impacts and supply chain efficiency
EU's threat impacts supply chain efficiency and brand reputation.
Higher guidance supports brand reinvigoration and transformation.
Advances: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
Positive momentum in brands supports growth objective.
Advances: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
New product line aligns with brand transformation efforts.
Advances: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
Raising outlook supports brand transformation despite Old Navy issues.
Advances: Drive brand reinvigoration and transformation
Analyst upgrade supports brand reinvigoration efforts.
