EXPD
Expeditors InternationalNYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, EXPD has a signal label of "favorable" with a composite score of 31.6. The company momentum score increased significantly by 25.7 points, reaching 60.9. This improvement in momentum contributed to the favorable signal label. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the data may be subject to change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.10
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.47 → $1.62 (+10.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 10 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 13% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 4.3% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Market and fundamentals agree — analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
10 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 36%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.63 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 48/100, drawdown 68/100, beta 63/100, earnings vol —.
Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 43
Company momentum rose by 25.7 points (from 35.2 to 60.9).
- label change · signal_labelseverity 20
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'favorable'.
As of May 8, 2026, the company momentum score for EXPD rose by 25.7 points, increasing from 35.2 to 60.9. Additionally, the signal label changed from "mild_favorable" to "favorable." These changes indicate an upward shift in momentum and a more positive signal label. The information is provisional.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -0.6% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EXPD Expeditors International | +32 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a Washington corporation, issued a press release announcing first quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchan…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 67 - 2026-05-053d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a Washington corporation, issued a press release announcing a semi-annual cash dividend. A copy of the press release is filed as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.
capital allocationneutralscore 48 - 2026-03-231mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. The following information is included in this document as a result of Expeditors' policy regarding public disclosure of corporate information. SAFE HARBOR FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS UNDER SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995; CERTAIN CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS Certain portions of this document contain forward-looking statements, which are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looki…
legal regulatorynegativescore 18 - 2026-02-242mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 24, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a Washington corporation, issued a press release announcing fourth quarter financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exch…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 12 - 2026-02-242mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On February 24, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a Washington corporation, issued a press release announcing an authorization to repurchase shares. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.
capital allocationpositivescore 10
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.