Reading GOSS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GOSS free→Reading GOSS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GOSS free→
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with GOSS trading below typical compared to sector peers. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated weak grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=2391).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.94x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.13 → $-0.13 (+3.9% / 30d). 3 raised, 2 cut, 7 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 4 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$438.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$879.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,588.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GOSS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. New Convertible Notes Indenture The New Convertible Notes delivered in exchange for the Early Tendered Notes were, and any New Convertible Notes delivered in exchange for remaining Existing Convertible Notes that are validly tendered in the Exchange Offer following the Extended Early Tender Date and at or prior to the Expiration Deadline will be, issued pursuant to an indenture, dated as of June 4, 2026 (the “New Convertible Notes Indenture”), by an…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GOSS Gossamer Bio, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 24 of 100 | — | high |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | full | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Health Care names rated volatile grew net income 43% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=600).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Plan to submit a New Drug Application for seralutinib in pulmonary arterial hypertension by September 2026.
Initiate a share buyback program as part of capital allocation strategy.
Utilize new convertible notes to optimize capital allocation.
Gossamer Bio aims to increase its revenue as part of its growth strategy.
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Cancellation of Existing Convertible Notes Tendered in Exchange Offer On the Early Settlement Date, the Company caused the Early Tendered Notes accepted for exchange to be delivered to the Existing Convertible Notes Trustee for cancellation. The Early Tendered Notes represented 90.526% of the previously outstanding Existing Convertible Notes. The information set forth in the Explanatory Note and in
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. In connection with the Exchange Offer, on the Early Settlement Date, in reliance upon the exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act provided by Section 4(a)(2) thereof and Rule 506 of Regulation D promulgated thereunder, the Company issued $65,174,000 in aggregate principal amount of New Convertible Notes, 254,150,441 shares of its Common Stock, 33,402,727 Prefunded Warrants and 135,789,000 Purchase Warrants to eligible holders…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. The information set forth in the Explanatory Note and in
Regulation FD Disclosure. On June 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the early tender results and its election to accept for exchange the Early Tendered Notes in the Exchange Offer and Consent Solicitation. The full text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information contained or incorporated herein, including the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1,…