BWX Technologies (BWXT)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$121.50-7.83%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put BWXT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Free cash flow reaches at least $315 million in 2026: Free cash flow guidance: $50M to $80M.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 18% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 49% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBWXT's nuclear growth engine has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue growth is slowing, dropping from 26% to 10% year over year. The company raised its 2026 revenue forecast to about $3.8 billion. It also set a 2030 revenue target of $5.5 billion to $6 billion. The stock trades at 27 times earnings versus a 29 times peer median. This multiple is below its own 37 times historical average. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Free cash flow guidance of $50 million to $80 million breaks the thesis. The primary pillar for cash flow has broken. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% above where it trades. The thesis has broken. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. BWXT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering BWXT (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BWXT in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put BWXT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Generate strong free cash flow and manage capital expenditures
Standard capital allocation; neutral to thesis.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $121.50
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $121.50.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Long-term targets confirm robust growth and cash flow objectives.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Revenue miss directly challenges growth objective.
Advances: Increase net income and earnings per share
EPS beat supports earnings objective despite revenue miss.
Advances: Focus on core nuclear national defense and commercial nuclear power markets
Army selection supports BWXT’s defense-nuclear focus, but the headline alone provides limited deal detail.
Advances: Focus on core nuclear national defense and commercial nuclear power markets
Fuel supply agreement supports BWXT’s commercial nuclear power focus and provides contracted business through 2029.
Advances: Generate strong free cash flow and manage capital expenditures
Upgrade indicates strong cash flow potential and revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
New $189 million contract adds defense work and supports revenue visibility.
