Avis Budget Group (CAR)
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$119.81+9.58%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put CAR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth at or above 2% annually: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 24%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 86% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCAR's fleet discipline must drive utilization to justify the price. Revenue fell 2% year over year in the latest quarter. The company missed earnings by 39% in that period. It trades at 0.3x sales versus a 1.6x peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 56%. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 64% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. CAR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering CAR (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CAR in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrials (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CAR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain disciplined capital allocation and liquidity management
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $119.81
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $119.81.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Guidance confirms disciplined capital allocation and liquidity management.
Advances: Tighten fleet discipline and improve utilization
Official slides confirm fleet discipline driving utilization gains.
Threatens: Control per-unit fleet costs
Earnings miss signals cost pressure despite revenue strength.
Threatens: Manage legal and regulatory risks including shareholder litigation
Legal risks could impact management's objectives and overall business stability.
Threatens: Manage legal and regulatory risks including shareholder litigation
Lawsuit raises concerns about legal and regulatory risks.
Threatens: Control per-unit fleet costs
Recall-driven costs negatively impact fleet cost control.
Threatens: Manage financial obligations
Missed revenue estimates impact financial obligations management.
Advances: Asset-backed financing extension
Reshaping debt profile supports capital allocation goals.