TRIP.COM GROUP LTD (TCOM)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$42.69+3.17%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put TCOM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Regulatory environment stabilizes without new probes: RMB 5.2B penalty vs No new probes.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTCOM faces a legal overhang that challenges its growth story. The company recently booked an RMB 5.2 billion penalty. This fine represents a significant regulatory cost. The desk lacks recent earnings data to confirm growth. We cannot anchor a clean valuation multiple right now. The market cycle is currently in a Mania phase. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 23%. Peer multiples imply a price about 29% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. TCOM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering TCOM (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TCOM in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCOM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TCOM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Penalty indicates legal risks affecting growth potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $42.69
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $42.69.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Significant revenue growth supports positive valuation outlook.
Price target cut indicates demand concerns affecting valuation.
Earnings beat indicates strong operational performance.
Antitrust penalty poses significant financial risk.
Earnings beat indicates strong financial performance.
Beating revenue estimates suggests positive growth outlook.
HSBC downgrade indicates regulatory and demand concerns.
