Choice Hotels (CHH)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-11-05
$117.84-2.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-11-05
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Put CHH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain adjusted EBITDA near $632 million in 2026: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 30% growth a year, above the roughly 3% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskChoice Hotels' extended-stay growth must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 3% year over year in the last two quarters. The company beat its third-quarter earnings estimate by 2.6%. It trades at 17 times earnings versus a 25 times peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 22%. The primary pillar is under pressure as the EBITDA target needs review. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 36% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-05. CHH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering CHH (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CHH in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CHH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain and grow operating income and adjusted EBITDA
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-05. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $117.84
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $117.84.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Official guidance confirms EBITDA targets and growth.
Advances: Maintain and grow operating income and adjusted EBITDA
Beats and raised outlook confirm strong operating performance.
Advances: Maintain and grow operating income and adjusted EBITDA
Earnings and revenue beats support profitability objectives.
Advances: Transition leadership and maintain strategic momentum
CEO confirmation supports leadership transition and strategic momentum.
Advances: Transition leadership and maintain strategic momentum
New CEO may enhance strategic momentum and leadership.
Advances: Drive global net rooms growth and franchise agreements
Increased RevPAR and growth outlook support net rooms growth objective.
Advances: Drive global net rooms growth and franchise agreements
Increased EBITDA outlook supports growth and franchise agreements.
Advances: Maintain and grow operating income and adjusted EBITDA
Earnings call provides insights on operating income and EBITDA.