Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put ALAB beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — EPS between $0.44 and $0.46 in 2026-Q2: EPS $0.80 vs $0.44-$0.46 target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 98% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation.
View ManagementThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 60% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAstera Labs must continue its strong revenue growth to justify its current valuation. Revenue grew 104% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations. It trades at 47× price-to-sales versus a peer median of 8×. The price is roughly in line with the growth we forecast. A specific risk is the potential for ALAB to cut guidance on the next call, which could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades. The thesis has broken due to a primary pillar being broken, with EPS falling short of targets.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. ALAB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering ALAB (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ALAB in the last 4 months.
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Compare ALAB with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALAB Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ALAB next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
New product aligns with growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $310.40
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $310.40.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Scorpio switching seen as growth engine.
Insider selling raises concerns about confidence.