MU
Micron TechnologyNASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, MU has a composite score of 23.3, categorized under the signal label "mild favorable." The score is influenced by high confidence in guidance credibility at 100.0 and a macro score of 32.3, while the sector score is lower at 21.4. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.63
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $18.91 → $18.97 (+0.3% / 30d). 25 raised, 0 cut, 30 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 87% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 53.1% above current price.
Market and fundamentals agree — analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 | $1.16 – $1.36 | $1.56 | beat |
| 2025-05-31 | $1.27 – $1.47 | $1.91 | beat |
| 2025-11-30 | $3.41 – $3.71 | $4.78 | beat |
| 2026-02-28 | $7.99 – $8.39 | $12.20 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 80%; 252d 61%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −30%. Bad day move −5%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.11 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 0/100, drawdown 40/100, beta 11/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 4 guided quarters · 36.6% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
55 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MU Micron Technology | +23 | full | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-18)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-18)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-181mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 18, 2026 , Micron Technology, Inc. (the "Company", "we" or "our") announced the financial results for our second quarter of fiscal 2026 ended February 26, 2026. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 22 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On March 31, 2026, Micron Technology, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the pricing of its cash tender offers for any and all of its outstanding 5.300% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “2031 Notes”), 5.650% Senior Notes due 2032 (the “2032 Notes”), 5.875% Senior Notes due 2033 (the “2033A Notes”), 5.875% Senior Notes due 2033 (the “2033B Notes”), 5.800% Senior Notes due 2035 (the “2035A Notes”), and 6.050% Senior Notes due 2035 (the “2023B Notes”, and, together wi…
capital allocationneutralscore 22 - 2026-03-251mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On March 25, 2026, Micron Technology, Inc. issued a press release announcing that it has commenced cash tender offers to purchase any and all of its outstanding 5.300% Senior Notes due 2031, 5.650% Senior Notes due 2032, 5.875% Senior Notes due 2033, 5.875% Senior Notes due 2033, 5.800% Senior Notes due 2035, and 6.050% Senior Notes due 2035. A copy of this press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference .
capital allocationneutralscore 19
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.