NVDA
NVIDIA CorporationNASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, NVDA has a composite score of 19.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score reflects medium confidence at 68.1 and is influenced by factors such as macroeconomic conditions, sector trends, and management quality. The top drivers include macro rates, growth, inflation, and labor. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.23
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.95 → $1.95 (+0.3% / 30d). 3 raised, 1 cut, 37 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 93% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
8 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 36%; 252d 34%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −20%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.12 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 43/100, drawdown 60/100, beta 12/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | +23 | full | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-04-15)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-04-15)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2712d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 24, 2026, Donald Robertson, Vice President, or VP, and Chief Accounting Officer, or CAO, of NVIDIA Corporation, or the Company, notified the Company of his intention to retire from his role as VP and CAO, effective May 4, 2026. Following such date, he will remain with the Company as VP, Finance to support various projects until July 1,…
executive changeneutralscore 43 - 2026-03-062mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Adoption of Fiscal Year 2027 Variable Compensation Plan On March 2, 2026, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors, or the Board, of NVIDIA Corporation, or the Company, adopted the Variable Compensation Plan for Fiscal Year 2027, or the 2027 Plan, which provides eligible executive officers the opportunity to earn a variable cash payment…
executive changeneutralscore 13 - 2026-02-252mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 25, 2026, NVIDIA Corporation, or the Company, issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended January 25, 2026. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated by reference herein is financial information and commentary by Colette M. Kress, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, regarding results fo…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 12 - 2025-08-278mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 27, 2025, NVIDIA Corporation, or the Company, issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended July 27, 2025. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated by reference herein is financial information and commentary by Colette M. Kress, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, regarding results for the…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 0 - 2025-08-059mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On July 31, 2025, Ellen Ochoa resigned from the Board of Directors, or the Board, of NVIDIA Corporation, or the Company, including as a member of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee of the Board, effective immediately. Dr. Ochoa’s resignation is for personal reasons and not because of any disagreement with the Company on any matte…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.